THOUGHT LESSON · EVIDENCE UNDER PRESSURE
Confirmation bias: the evidence you almost did not see
You do not need to be foolish or dishonest to favor information that fits. See the selection happen, then learn a practical way to interrupt it.
A bias can enter before the reasoning starts
The broad label covers tendencies to search for, interpret or remember information in ways that favor an existing hypothesis. It does not mean people always reject contrary evidence, and it is not a diagnosis of everyone who disagrees with you.
EXPLAIN · MIXORA EDITORIALAsk for a possible defeat
Before collecting support for an , write down what observation would count against its central . Then look for that observation on purpose. The goal is not automatic disbelief; it is giving competing explanations a real chance.
Proving mode
What can I find that supports my claim?
Testing mode
What should I expect to see if my claim is wrong?
30-SECOND EXPERIMENT
The redesign is a success. Pick the strongest evidence.
You already believe the claim. Select up to three cards you would put in your report.
SOURCES & TRUST
References
Last reviewed
- 01Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many GuisesAcademic source
Raymond S. Nickerson · 1998 · Review of General Psychology
Review of selective searching for and interpretation of evidence. - 02ConfirmationReference source
Franz Huber · Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy
Philosophical models of how evidence supports hypotheses.
What the source labels mean
- Primary source
- Original work, experiment, standard or historical text.
- Academic source
- Scholarly research or review published for an academic audience.
- Reference source
- An expert standard, encyclopedia or institutional explanation that summarizes a field.
- General reference
- A practical specialist resource useful for application, but not treated as decisive research by itself.